Come Day after tomorrow, and the fate of Presidency would be sealed by the Electoral College.From the arithmetic of what it appears there is over 70% Probability that, Mr. Mukherjee is going to be our 13th Mr. President.But what makes most of us so optimistic in concluding , that he would be the next President of the biggest democracy of the world, much before the votes are casted?
Is it the Sonia Effect or the Fine-tuned Political Acumen of Mr. Mukherjee (Pranab Effect)?
Well , to my mind - It's both.
Sonia Effect: Sonia would never ideally have wanted to recommend Pranab's nomination for presidency, given the choice.Pranab never really enjoyed the support of Congress-S [read Congress-Sonia :)], as he did from Congress-I. One Mrs. Gandhi (Indira) completely relied on him, but the same hypothesis cannot be framed for another Mrs. Gandhi( Sonia).In fact it is the weakening clout of Gandhi Family on Indian Polity as well as on UPA allies, that provided the much needed support for Pranab's nomination.Issues such as - Increased Corruption, Dwindling Economy and Ineffective government policies, in turn fueling the ever increasing growth of poverty, inflation and Dollar valuation , degraded Sonia's clout she commanded over her allies.Add to it, Congress performance have not been that great offlate - as it lost Goa, Punjab, U.P., Delhi, Mumbai and M.P. in local or state elections.
Willy-nilly, Sonia Gandhi had to give nod for Pranab's nomination.
Pranab Effect: Mr. Mukherjee has great Networking & Negotiation Skills. This he capitalized on this time (not to say that, PM (read Pranab Da) didn't wish to be a PM).After the last General Elections of 2009 , when it became clear to Mr. Mukherjee, that his last opportunity to become Prime Minister is over. He clearly channelized all his skills in communicating 2 things - 1st : He eventually announced in October 2010, at various forums such as India Today, that this would be his last stint of his active political career— he would not be a part if another UPA government comes to power. 2nd: Since 2010 , he made his wish to become President known not only to the Congress High command but also to all major non-Congress parties, with many of whom he had built personal rapport over a 40 year long political stint.
For the next 2 days, entire nation would be keenly watching over the events and somewhere these 2 above described factors will play there their own roles in catalysing the entire process.
Is it the Sonia Effect or the Fine-tuned Political Acumen of Mr. Mukherjee (Pranab Effect)?
Well , to my mind - It's both.
Sonia Effect: Sonia would never ideally have wanted to recommend Pranab's nomination for presidency, given the choice.Pranab never really enjoyed the support of Congress-S [read Congress-Sonia :)], as he did from Congress-I. One Mrs. Gandhi (Indira) completely relied on him, but the same hypothesis cannot be framed for another Mrs. Gandhi( Sonia).In fact it is the weakening clout of Gandhi Family on Indian Polity as well as on UPA allies, that provided the much needed support for Pranab's nomination.Issues such as - Increased Corruption, Dwindling Economy and Ineffective government policies, in turn fueling the ever increasing growth of poverty, inflation and Dollar valuation , degraded Sonia's clout she commanded over her allies.Add to it, Congress performance have not been that great offlate - as it lost Goa, Punjab, U.P., Delhi, Mumbai and M.P. in local or state elections.
Willy-nilly, Sonia Gandhi had to give nod for Pranab's nomination.
Pranab Effect: Mr. Mukherjee has great Networking & Negotiation Skills. This he capitalized on this time (not to say that, PM (read Pranab Da) didn't wish to be a PM).After the last General Elections of 2009 , when it became clear to Mr. Mukherjee, that his last opportunity to become Prime Minister is over. He clearly channelized all his skills in communicating 2 things - 1st : He eventually announced in October 2010, at various forums such as India Today, that this would be his last stint of his active political career— he would not be a part if another UPA government comes to power. 2nd: Since 2010 , he made his wish to become President known not only to the Congress High command but also to all major non-Congress parties, with many of whom he had built personal rapport over a 40 year long political stint.
For the next 2 days, entire nation would be keenly watching over the events and somewhere these 2 above described factors will play there their own roles in catalysing the entire process.
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